The month of May marks the 4th anniversary of the
implementation of a deep-in-the-money covered call option investment strategy
that was designed to combat the low interest rate policy by the Federal
Reserve, penalizing prudent investors and retirees, forcing them into riskier
investments.
Outlined in the 2010 book from Amazon - Zero (In)Tolerance-
the plan has performed beyond the expectations of a "hedged" equity
investment which caps the appreciation of stocks, but has consistently, in
several tested time frames, yielded the historical return (@10%) of the stock
market. As illustrated in the book by the "Visible Hand", the five
digits show how the strategy reacts to the possible directions of stocks:
* Up sharply, one gives up appreciation but receives the
return from dividend-paying stocks (3% or more) plus some premium from the
option that is sold 5 to 10 per cent below the initial Buy price. In return,
the rising price increases the cushion of safety for when the inevitable
retracement/correction occurs. A good recent example of this is Safeway (SWY)
which just lost $5 this past week, but is still above the "call-away"
price of $21 in the test portfolio - a small IRA that has no contribution or
distributions, and is fully invested in DITM. This account is actually up
slightly more than the above theoretical 10% annualized figure. Unforeseen was
that the current Bull market in stocks actually started in March 2009, two
months before the frustration of low rates led to
DITM.
* Up slightly, in a normal right translation (due to
Inflation) is also positive for DITM, again providing the full return expected
by the dividend and option price, after subtracting the difference between the
Buy price and the eventual price (5 or 6 months out) that it must be
"pre"sold at. An example of this is buying XY at $50 and selling a 6
month call option at the 45 strike price, for $6. The $5 "loss" is
immediately return (to reinvest elsewhere) and the remaining $1 is added to the
return. Done twice in a year with the same money, it becomes
"annualized".
* The safest digit or direction of the stock/ market is
sideways, wherein at the end of the option duration, another like call is sold
(written), while keeping the stock, and avoiding its commission.
* The ideal digit or direction of the stock/ market is
slightly down , so that if it
descends to where the call was written, on can roll down another 5-10%, six
months out and receive a higher % dividend due to the lower price.
* The only losing scenario is the Flash Crash, or Bear
market (20% or more), when and if it stays there. Charted examples of these
have been: BP, CLF, VALE, and a few more. Even then, one will lose considerably
less than someone just long the stock, unhedged. These rare events are balanced
out with occasional early exercises, where the profit is improved greatly.
For
info on the book, see: brentleonard.com
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